Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.024779 0.027266 0.029736 0.032369 0.035089 0.037813 0.040741
2025-01-26 0.020525 0.024546 0.028662 0.033161 0.037916 0.042772 0.048084
2025-02-02 0.017138 0.022125 0.027363 0.033211 0.039498 0.046009 0.053219
2025-02-09 0.013947 0.019525 0.025543 0.032394 0.039875 0.047716 0.056485
2025-02-16 0.012037 0.018128 0.024853 0.032631 0.041226 0.050315 0.060552
2025-02-23 0.010241 0.016687 0.023977 0.032541 0.042110 0.052312 0.063876
2025-03-02 0.008581 0.015258 0.023004 0.032245 0.042682 0.053894 0.066676
2025-03-09 0.007226 0.014079 0.022234 0.032106 0.043364 0.055538 0.069488
2025-03-16 0.005739 0.012596 0.021015 0.031380 0.043326 0.056339 0.071329
2025-03-23 0.004829 0.011780 0.020542 0.031473 0.044174 0.058083 0.074166
2025-03-30 0.003800 0.010690 0.019670 0.031049 0.044393 0.059094 0.076166
2025-04-06 0.002816 0.009534 0.018649 0.030400 0.044315 0.059741 0.077731
2025-04-13 0.001600 0.007864 0.016988 0.029070 0.043587 0.059822 0.078872
2025-04-20 0.001185 0.007482 0.017034 0.029858 0.045375 0.062802 0.083308
2025-04-27 0.000669 0.006722 0.016513 0.029911 0.046277 0.064759 0.086586
2025-05-04 0.000171 0.005589 0.015372 0.029129 0.046148 0.065507 0.088479
2025-05-11 0.000014 0.005059 0.015050 0.029356 0.047196 0.067580 0.091837
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004424 0.014512 0.029269 0.047843 0.069169 0.094628
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003755 0.013851 0.028986 0.048224 0.070430 0.097027
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003209 0.013326 0.028853 0.048766 0.071859 0.099597
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002493 0.012415 0.028157 0.048590 0.072429 0.101172
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002135 0.012094 0.028246 0.049367 0.074100 0.103986
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001646 0.011439 0.027840 0.049508 0.075009 0.105914